As we inch closer to Midnight Madness and the start of the 2011-2012 IUBB season, looking to start a new tradition here at CrimsonCast. We are going to determine odds for who is going to lead the team in scoring this year.
2 to 1 – Christian Watford – Unless there is an injury, this would seem to be a lock. Maybe the real question should be, can he break 20 PPG?
4 to 1 – Cody Zeller – I would assume that we will be feeding the ball to Cody early and often. If Watford plays well, it should allow for Cody to work one-on-one in the post. My only concern is the last true Freshman to lead the team in scoring was Eric Gordon, and I haven’t seen enough to say Cody is that good yet.
5 to 1 – Verdell Jones III – We know that for whatever reason, Crean likes to run the offensive through VJ3. So we know he will get his touches and shots. With more help in the post, that could open him up to do more shooting and driving, and less dribbling.
10 to 1 – Jordan Hulls – He was third on the team in scoring last year. With defenses focused more on the interior, does this open up Hulls for more three point attempts?
20 to 1 – Victor Oladipo – May be one of the best bets on the board. Crean loves to play a guard heavy line-up. Last year while Victor was 5th in Points per Game, of those top 5, only Hulls had a better Point per Minute (PPM) average. Hulls averaged 2.83 PPM, Victor 2.44 PPM, Christian 1.82 PPM. If Crean will let Victor off the bench, he could lead this team.
25 to 1 – Will Sheehey – Same logic we just used for Oladipo can work for Sheehy. He played about 130 minutes less than Oladipo last season, but averaged 2.85 PPM, which was higher than anyone who averaged more PPG than him last year.
100 to 1 – Austin Etherington – Just haven’t seen enough to say much.
500 to 1 – Tom Pritchard – Two year ago, when we didn’t have much else, he was third on the team in scoring. With Zeller in the post, it should allow Pritchard to play some 4 and not have to always cover the other team’s #1 center.
750 to 1 – Derek Elston – He shows short flashes of brillance that make you think he could be a team scoring leader. But that is normally followed by some brain lapses. The question would also need to be asked, if Derek played enough to lead the team in scoring, how many points would he give up on defense?
1,000 to 1 – Matt Roth – If this happens, he would break the NCAA All-Time record for 3 pointers made in a season.
5,000 to 1 – Remy Abell – Wouldn’t it be funny if the one recruit that was a throw-in, and no one seemed to care about, turned out to lead us in scoring? Isn’t going to happen, but would be funny.
500,000 to 1 – Daniel Moore – I like Danny Moore and think he brings some great energy to this team when he is on the floor. But we can all agree, Danny included, that if he leads the team in scoring this season, things have gone WAY off the rails!
1,000,000 to 1 – Kory Barnett / Raphael Smith / Taylor Wayer / Jeff Howard – Nothing against you guys, but I won’t even take these odds.
Off the Board – Maurice Creek – After the Kentucky game 2 years ago, the sky was the limit for Creek. He would have been even odds to lead the team in scoring for that year. (His 16.4 PPG through those 12 games, was still the high for that season) Now, we are just hoping he can be healthy enough to be a 3-4 minute & 2-4 PPG contributor for NEXT year. Not sure I can remember an IU playing falling so far, so fast. Very sad.
So what do you think? Who would you bet on? Do you find value in the odds or are some players overvalued?