We skipped a week due to prior obligations, but we’re back and ready for another Bracket Report. Let’s jump right in:
Last Four In: Colorado, Maryland, Iowa, Arizona State
First Four Out: California, Arkansas, Boise State, Kentucky
- Indiana gets the top overall seed, and Miami gets the second. In reality, Michigan State should get the third #1 seed (and the regional in Arlington), but I have a hard time seeing the real committee putting Michigan State over Florida. Which is a shame, because Florida’s best win is still over a Wisconsin team that had just lost its point guard a week earlier. Their resume is remarkably devoid of top wins.
- Gonzaga has gotten some play as a potential #1 seed. I’m not seeing it. Their best wins are versus Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, and Baylor. Those are great wins if you’re trying to get the #1 seed in the Big 12 Tournament, but the NCAA tourney? No.
- I’m not sure what to do with Illinois at this stage. Their wins are hard to ignore. But it’s also hard to ignore that they basically took a month off from basketball. I had them S-curved as an 8 seed, and they got bumped up due to bracketing rules.
- The MVC, MWC, and A-10 teams are collectively doing themselves no favors in terms of seeing. We’ve seen UNLV and SDSU drop to the 8/9 range, Creighton falling out of a protected seed, and Butler flirting with the 6/7 range. Colorado State has done well to move themselves up, and New Mexico still seems solid as a 4 seed, but neither team has much room for future growth. Meanwhile, teams like Marquette, Oklahoma State, and NC State still have opportunities to move up thanks to their schedules.