This is our official, Bracket Matrix submitted bracket projection, going in to the selection show.
Here is the bracket. Below that is the full seed list.
Last Four In: VCU, Wake Forest, Providence, Southern Cal
First Four Out: Illinois State, Illinois, Syracuse, Iowa
Seed List 1-68:
|51||East Tennessee State|
|55||New Mexico State|
|57||Florida Gulf Coast|
|62||South Dakota State|
|67||North Carolina Central|
|68||Mount St Mary’s|
- The first two one seeds are easy. The next four teams are hard. I went back and forth for a couple of hours on an order, and I’m still not totally sold on it. I think the committee will reward Duke’s top 50 wins and better away wins, and i think they’ll reward Gonzaga for only losing one game. That ends up making UNC the first 2 seed and Arizona the second 2 seed. I think if I was bracketing based upon my own interpretations (as opposed to trying to project the committee), I’d probably have the line ordered Villanova, Kansas, Duke, UNC, Arizona, Gonzaga.
- The last four teams in changed a little bit, as I looked at numbers more closely. I think today’s win moved Rhode Island up slightly, and dropped VCU down slightly, as the first team in the last four in. I also became less enamored with Wake Forest’s profile the more I looked at it, so they got bumped down.
- Of the teams not in my field that I’m the most concerned about, it’s Syracuse and Illinois State, for totally different reasons. If the committee opts for top 50 wins, Syracuse is getting in and someone’s getting bounced…maybe USC. Although that would leave the Pac 12 with only three teams, which also seems unlikely.